Lack of planning to address slow economic growth worrying – Seifsa

The Steel and Engineering Industries Federation of Southern Africa (Seifsa) has welcomed government’s announced efforts to reduce its expenditure; however, the organisation remains concerned about the lack of concrete plans to address the country’s slow economic growth.

Speaking a day after Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan’s 2016 Budget speech last month, Seifsa chief economist Henk Langenhoven said the Budget indicated that “the primary balance of current expenditure versus income” would be positive from this Budget period onwards.

During his Budget speech, Gordhan said government would lower the spending ceiling over the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework period, cut consumables such as travel and vehicle purchases, restrict the filling of expensive vacancies and reduce headcount through better personnel practices, as well as contain spending by cutting R25-billion off the State’s R500-billion a year procurement spend and investigate all contracts with a value of R10-million and higher.

“These are welcome but high targets to meet. If achieved, this budget may indicate a turning point,” Langenhoven averred.

He added that it seemed clear that provinces and local authorities had reached their peak in terms of headcount and drag on the fiscus, with no increases in spending allocations and strong indications from the National Treasury that they would have to consolidate.

The Manufacturing Circle, meanwhile, also commended Gordhan for his emphasis on fiscal consolidation and discipline to reduce the Budget deficit and stabilise the country’s debt to gross domestic product ratio, as well as measures aimed at reducing government’s expenditure.

However, Langenhoven said, notwithstanding government’s plans to significantly cut its expendi- ture, Gordhan’s speech lacked solid measures to improve domestic demand.

“In light of the very soft and hugely competitive international trade environment, one of the best stimulatory measures within government’s control would be to channel spending to local producers,” he said.

Initiatives to support growth and development, such as building on the success of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme, fostering agro- processing and streamlining trade flows, were commendable, said Langenhoven, but added that there was not much mention of stimulating the local economy through the allocation of spending to local producers.

The Manufacturing Circle stated that, while it applauded the move to have funding from the Industrial Development Corporation made available to boost local manufacturing and beneficiation, the organisation would have “liked to see more detail on how incentives would be strengthened or made more flexible” to achieve these goals.

“In particular, no mention was made of the preservation of existing incentives such as those for the automotive and clothing, textiles and footwear sectors, [which] are important measures in boosting inclusive growth,” it added.

Meanwhile, steel producer ArcelorMittal South Africa stated in a media release that it was pleased with government’s infrastructure investment plans, which included energy, transport and logistics projects.

It also commended Gordhan’s emphasis on improving fiscal discipline and creating policy certainty.

Meanwhile, commenting on the extent to which the Minister’s speech re-established general confidence in government and in the country, Langenhoven highlighted that Gordhan struggled to find any signs of confidence returning in terms of positive economic data.

He said studies showed that the perceived positive impact of a weak currency on com- petitiveness and exports was not well founded and that the decline in the terms of trade was further evidence of that.

However, the announcement of measures to enhance fiscal probity in the face of severe pressures for expanded involvement of government either as a direct employer or through spending increases contributed to confidence building.